Azerbaijan’s entry into war would exacerbate regional energy Insecurity, global air travel disruption

Last week’s strikes on Nakhchivan International Airport (NAJ) marked a dangerous turning point, as Azerbaijani territory was hit for the first time in the expanding Israel-US-Iran conflict. Although de-escalation efforts seem to be holding, Azerbaijani forces were nevertheless placed on ‘high alert’ for possible retaliatory action following the attack; the risk of conflict spillover remains high.

Sibylline analysts examine how this escalation threatens more than just regional borders. From the potential closure of vital global flightpaths to the targeting of Azerbaijani hydrocarbon infrastructure, the knock-on effects for international aviation and Western energy security are profound.

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