Polycrisis 2027 – How the West is facing a Grave, Imminent and Multi-threat Global Crisis
Report
October 7, 2025
The world may be heading towards its most volatile period since the Second World War.
Simultaneous geopolitical, technological and economic pressures driven by major powers – such as the US, China, Russia, Iran and the EU – are converging towards a single point of global instability.
Our latest paper – Polycrisis 2027: How the West is facing a grave, imminent and multi-threat global crisis – maps six interlinked crisis scenarios for 2027:
- A Chinese quarantine of Taiwan that triggers a semi-conductor shock and global financial crisis
- A Russian-created crisis within NATO territory that splinters the alliance
- Iranian maritime disruption that closes the Strait of Hormuz
- A North Korean attack against South Korean and US forces
- Political fracturing and conflict across Europe and the US that paralyses any potential co-ordinated response
- The strategic denial of global trade routes by a China-Russia-Iran axis that severs critical supply lines
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