Report Request: Cuba-US Special Report

Report

May 23, 2026

Cuba is facing its deepest economic and political crisis in decades, with rolling blackouts, fuel shortages and growing unrest placing mounting pressure on the Communist regime. The recent indictment of Raul Castro has added a new dimension to that pressure campaign, fuelling speculation that Washington may be laying the groundwork for a Venezuela-style strategy aimed at forcing concessions or engineering a managed transition in Havana. As the Trump administration tightens sanctions and quietly explores contacts with younger Cuban insiders, this Special Report examines the role of Marco Rubio and the Cuban-American diaspora, the prospects for negotiation versus intervention, and why Cuba’s proximity to the United States makes the risks of escalation uniquely dangerous.

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