Report Request: Russia-Ukraine Mobilisation Crisis Special Report

Report

July 8, 2026

Putin’s mobilisation dilemma could define the next phase of the Ukraine war

In this Sibylline Special Report, Lead Europe Analyst Alexander Lord examines the recruitment pressures facing both militaries, why drones cannot solve Ukraine’s manpower crisis, and the mobilisation decisions that could determine whether the war continues at its current intensity well into 2027.

As battlefield losses mount on both sides, Ukraine faces an increasingly acute manpower shortage, while Russia confronts a different challenge: whether President Vladimir Putin is prepared to risk the domestic political cost of broader mobilisation.

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