Will Ethiopia and Eritrea go to war in the coming year?

Tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea have risen substantially in recent months, prompting widespread speculation about a renewed conflict in the Horn of Africa.

Hostilities between these decades-old regional rivals are escalating dangerously; they are driven by two core strategic pressures:

• Ethiopian demands for maritime access
• Allegations of Eritrean engagement in Ethiopia’s Tigray region

Our latest Special Report assesses the trajectory of their bilateral relations; it outlines the most likely scenarios and identifies the key triggers and drivers that could lead to war.

Request a copy of the report below.

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